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Assam CM Predicts Bleak Future for Congress, Foresees BJP Dominance by 2026

Kalyani Jha
26 Mar, 2024

Assam Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma has made bold predictions about the political landscape in the state, forecasting a grim future for the Congress party and asserting BJP's continued dominance. In a recent statement to reporters in Biswanath, Sarma confidently remarked that Congress MP Rahul Gandhi's future appears 'dark,' and by 2026, the grand old party will likely cease to exist in Assam.

Sarma's Assertions and Political Analysis

The Assam CM's remarks stem from his observations of a significant erosion within the Congress ranks, with several leaders and workers defecting to the BJP and AGP (Asom Gana Parishad) in recent months. Sarma's belief in the demise of the Congress party in Assam by 2026 is based on this trend, emphasizing that Congress may only survive in isolated pockets.

Anticipation of Leadership Changes and Party Alignments

Sarma further hinted at potential leadership shifts, claiming that many 'good leaders' from the Congress are expected to join the BJP before and after the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. He specifically mentioned Assam Pradesh Congress Committee president Bhupen Kumar Borah's anticipated move to BJP in 2025, indicating ongoing strategies to bolster BJP's presence in the state.

Strategic Political Maneuvers and Alliances

The Assam CM's strategic approach includes preparing seats and welcoming defections strategically, aiming to strengthen BJP's position while weakening Congress and other opposition parties. Sarma's remarks also touched on the perceived unity of the INDIA alliance, albeit in an abstract sense, contrasting it with the tangible gains and strategies of the BJP in Assam.

Analysis of Past and Present Political Dynamics

Sarma's statements are reflective of BJP's electoral successes in Assam, particularly in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections where BJP secured 9 seats compared to Congress' 3 seats and AIUDF's (All India United Democratic Front) single seat. This analysis underscores BJP's growing influence and the challenges faced by Congress and other opposition parties in the region.

Upcoming Lok Sabha Elections and BJP's Strategy

With the 2024 Lok Sabha elections in Assam approaching, Sarma's assertions provide insights into BJP's strategic planning and confidence in maintaining its electoral stronghold. The division of Assam into 14 Lok Sabha constituencies adds complexity to the political landscape, setting the stage for a closely watched electoral battle.